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Home » Column » Coming Earthquake: Why Tinubu’s 2027 Victory Is Not a Possibility—But a Political Certainty

Coming Earthquake: Why Tinubu’s 2027 Victory Is Not a Possibility—But a Political Certainty

By Dr. Bunmi Awoyemi

July 25, 2025
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In the evolving theatre of Nigerian democracy, 2027 will not be remembered as just another election year. It will be remembered as the final, unequivocal reckoning—the moment when Bola Ahmed Tinubu returns with a thunderous mandate to seal his legacy and silence a gallery of critics who have feasted gluttonously on imbalanced diets of propaganda, false prophecy, AI manipulated videos, bigotry inspired WhatsApp and Zoom groups, fabricated news reports, fake screen shots, manufactured precision guided outrage, and selective amnesia.

Make no mistake: Tinubu’s landslide is inevitable. The numbers are already writing themselves in the annals of Nigeria’s political future. 13.735 million votes. Twenty-four states carried with ease. Twelve lost— but not without comfortably obtaining over 25% of the votes cast and counted in 7 of them. The map will be drawn not in doubt, but in dominion.

This isn’t blind optimism. It is political mathematics grounded in precedent, performance, and power. Tinubu’s 2023 triumph was no fluke—it was a symphony of strategy, structure, and sheer electoral sophistication. The opposition dismissed him as too old, too frail, too compromised. And yet, when the dust settled, they were the ones coughing in the smoke of defeat—humbled, disoriented, and scandalously unprepared.

The Opposition’s House of Folly

What has the opposition done since 2023? Nothing but wail, whimper, and weaponize bitterness. They have become full-time merchants of disinformation, moonlighting as democrats while secretly sponsoring instability. Behind closed doors and in shadowy WhatsApp and Zoom groups, they flirt with insurrection and court the architects of chaos—bandits, insurgents, digital provocateurs—anything to sabotage governance and make Nigeria ungovernable, simply because they lost.

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Let it be said without euphemism: they are not an opposition, they are an affliction.

Their corruption runs deep—not just in finances but in spirit. Their hands are not just stained with looted billions, but with the indirect consequences of the violence they enable and the divisions they deepen. They parade themselves as saviors while their actions scream sabotage. They claim to love Nigeria while feeding its most dangerous enemies behind the curtain.

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And what do they offer Nigerians besides rhetoric and recycled slogans? Nothing. No vision. No cohesion. No national strategy. Just a rotating door of failed candidates, activist-clerics with inflated egos, and online mobs with no grounding in political realism.

Tinubu: The Strategist-in-Chief

In stark contrast stands Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, whose understanding of Nigerian politics is not theoretical—it is visceral. He knows the terrain, the players, the pulse of the streets and the psyche of the elite. His mastery is not just in winning elections, but in building coalitions where others burn bridges.

He came into office not with fanfare, but with a steely resolve to confront long-standing dysfunction. His reforms have been bold, even painful, but they are the markings of a leader who prioritizes posterity over popularity. Subsidy removal, FX unification, and civil service realignments were not applause-generating gestures. They were moves of a statesman—not a showman.

He governs like a chess grandmaster—always ten moves ahead, while his opponents are stuck repeating yesterday’s slogans on today’s platforms.

The People Know

And the people see it. Beyond the noise of Twitter influencers and expatriate critics with no electoral value, the real Nigeria—the one that votes—understands the difference between chaos and competence. They remember who built modern Lagos. They remember who made it possible for oppositions to unite under the APC platform to oust the PDP from power in 2015 after 16 years of failed governance at the center in Abuja. They know Tinubu is no messiah, but he is also no mercenary. He fights for the house he helped build.

They also remember the opposition’s long betrayal: the fake promises, the crumbled alliances, the broken trust. Nigerians are tired of theatrics masquerading as leadership. What they want is what Tinubu offers: continuity, structure, realism, and a path forward that isn’t constantly rewound by crisis merchants.

The Verdict Has Already Been Written

Come 2027, the ballots will tell a familiar story: 13.735 million votes. 24 states. An unmistakable roar of confidence from the electorate.

It will not be a win—it will be a political earthquake. A referendum on maturity. A rejection of chaos. A declaration that Nigeria cannot, and will not, be handed over to opportunists who only know how to destroy what they cannot control.

This is not a prediction. It is a preview. And when history writes its next chapter, it will say this of 2027:

“Nigeria chose structure over sentiment. Realism over rage. Leadership over lunacy. And Tinubu—once again—prevailed.”

* Dr. Bunmi Awoyemi is a Real Estate Developer and Builder.

Tags: 2027 Nigeria Presidential ElectionBola Ahmed Tinubu
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